Time Value of Money
coreNet Present Value (NPV)
Builds onPresent Value of a Single Sum — if this page feels steep, start there.
- net present value — today's value of everything the project gives, minus what it costs
- the minus sign marks money going OUT: the up-front cost at time zero
- the big sigma means 'add up': one term for each year t, from 1 to n
- the cash flow arriving at the end of year t
- each cash flow divided by its own years of growth — later money is shrunk more
Reading the notation
Why it must be true
NPV answers one question: is this project worth more than it costs? Discount every future cash flow to today — money's only common denominator — then subtract the up-front outlay. A positive NPV means the project creates value after paying investors their required return ; the decision rule "accept if " falls straight out of the definition.
The discount rate is doing the heavy lifting: it is the return the money could earn elsewhere at the same risk. NPV is therefore always a comparison against the next-best alternative, never an absolute number.
The derivation
Value each cash flow with the single-sum PV formula, then add. Present values can be added because they are all stated in the same units — today's dollars:
Nothing more is happening: NPV is repeated single-sum discounting plus arithmetic.
When to reach for it
An up-front outlay against a schedule of forecast cash flows, judged at a required return — the standard capital-budgeting accept/reject decision.
Listen for
Back-of-the-envelope
Estimate it in your head first — then the calculator only confirms.
- ≈
First screen without discounting: sum the inflows and subtract the outlay. If that's already negative, NPV is negative — done, no arithmetic needed.
- ≈
That undiscounted number is also your ceiling: the true NPV must be below it. Often only one choice sits between zero and the ceiling.
- ≈
Rough discount: knock ~r% off per year of waiting. Mid-scheme flows (year 2 of 3) lose roughly 2 × r%.
Traps in applying it
- ✗Leaving out the initial outlay — the sum of discounted inflows is gross PV, not NET present value.
- ✗Discounting every flow one period instead of by its own horizon.
- ✗Comparing raw NPVs of projects with different sizes or lives — scale and duration need separate treatment.
Limits & criticisms
NPV compresses the entire term structure into one flat discount rate for every period — year 1 and year 10 cash flows rarely deserve the same rate, so the single-r NPV is a deliberate simplification. It also treats the forecast cash flows as given, though they carry most of the real uncertainty, and it ignores managerial flexibility — the option to expand, delay or abandon — which is why real-options analysis exists as a correction.
Where it came from
Irving Fisher (1907) proved the deep result: whatever your personal preferences, you should take every project whose discounted cash flows exceed its cost — the market lets you rearrange the timing afterwards. But NPV stayed academic until Joel Dean's Capital Budgeting (1951) carried DCF into corporate boardrooms, displacing payback-period rules of thumb.
Today "accept if NPV > 0" is the closest thing corporate finance has to a law, used from factory investments to M&A models — always with the discount rate standing in for the next-best use of the money.
On the BA II Plus
Worked example: A firm can invest $8,250.00 now to receive $1,300.00 in year 1, $3,300.00 in year 2 and $3,600.00 in year 3. Using a required return of 9.5%, compute the net present value.
- 1.[CF] [2ND] [CLR WORK]open and clear the cash-flow worksheet
- 2.8,250 [+|-] [ENTER]CF0 — the outlay, negative
- 3.[↓] 1,300 [ENTER] [↓]C01 (leave F01 = 1)
- 4.[↓] 3,300 [ENTER] [↓]C02
- 5.[↓] 3,600 [ENTER] [↓]C03
- 6.[NPV] 9.5 [ENTER]I = discount rate, in percent
- 7.[↓] [CPT]NPV
→ -$1,568.60